Europa League 1/16
Global 6-1
KV Mechelen vs MTK Budapest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
KSV
1 - 1
KVM
35%
28%
37%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1993 |
KVM
1 - 1
ANT
57%
25%
18%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1993 |
KVM
1 - 1
NOR
54%
26%
21%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1993 |
CER
0 - 1
KVM
36%
27%
37%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1993 |
KVM
4 - 1
GEN
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1993 |
MTK
0 - 0
KRR
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1993 |
KRR
1 - 2
MTK
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1990 |
FCL
2 - 1
MTK
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1990 |
MTK
1 - 1
FCL
53%
22%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1990 |
SAM
2 - 1
MTK
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |