KV Mechelen vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
14º
11º
37
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 58 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 50 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 47 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 45 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 39 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 36 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 35 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 34 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
50.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 24 |
15º
|
81.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 18 |
16º
|
87% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1% | 72.5% |
|
Next round
|
86% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
LEU
1 - 0
KVM
35%
25%
40%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AND
4 - 1
KVM
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
KVM
1 - 2
GNK
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CER
1 - 0
KVM
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
KVM
0 - 0
SDL
61%
21%
19%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GEN
1 - 0
AND
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
LEU
0 - 0
GEN
35%
25%
40%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
GEN
1 - 1
CHA
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
DEN
0 - 0
GEN
23%
23%
53%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 3
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |