KV Mechelen vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
14º
11º
54
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 58 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 50 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 47 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 45 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 39 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 36 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 35 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 34 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
50.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 24 |
15º
|
81.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 18 |
16º
|
87% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
86% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CER
1 - 0
KVM
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
KVM
0 - 0
SDL
61%
21%
19%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
KVC
1 - 1
KVM
37%
24%
39%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
KVM
1 - 1
ANT
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
KVM
1 - 2
BRU
50%
24%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
BRU
2 - 1
GNK
45%
23%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GNK
2 - 0
LEU
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
STR
0 - 4
GNK
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
ANT
2 - 2
GNK
42%
24%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GNK
2 - 0
AND
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |