KV Mechelen vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
LOK
3 - 1
KVM
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2007 |
KVM
1 - 1
BRU
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 0
KVM
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
MON
1 - 1
KVM
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
KVM
0 - 1
AND
16%
23%
61%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 2
AND
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
KVC
0 - 2
EXC
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 1
MON
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
STR
0 - 2
EXC
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 4
GEN
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |