KV Mechelen vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
LOM
1 - 0
KVM
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
KVM
1 - 0
EEA
66%
22%
13%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
LOK
4 - 0
KVM
13%
22%
65%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
CHA
1 - 0
KVM
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
KVM
3 - 0
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
EXC
3 - 1
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
1 - 1
EXC
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
EXC
1 - 0
BRU
29%
24%
48%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
MOL
2 - 0
EXC
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1996 |
EXC
2 - 1
SDL
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |