KV Mechelen vs Club Brugge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
14º
9º
51
2º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 65 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 49 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 48 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 44 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 38 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 36 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 34 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 30 |
14º
|
69% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 24 |
15º
|
79% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 18 |
16º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
88% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
BEE
2 - 2
KVM
20%
23%
57%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
KVK
3 - 1
KVM
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
KVM
3 - 0
BEE
68%
18%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
KVM
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
KVM
1 - 1
UNI
45%
24%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Club Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
PAT
1 - 3
BRU
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BRU
4 - 1
DEN
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 1
BRU
38%
23%
38%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BRU
7 - 0
STR
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BEE
2 - 2
BRU
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |