KV Mechelen vs Antwerp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
14º
9º
40
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 65 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 58 |
2º
|
88.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 50 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 47 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 45 |
6º
|
45% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 36 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 36 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 36 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 35 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 30 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 24 |
15º
|
79.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 18 |
16º
|
87.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0.5% | 93.5% |
|
Next round
|
89.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
KVM
1 - 2
BRU
50%
24%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
BEE
2 - 2
KVM
20%
23%
57%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
KVK
3 - 1
KVM
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
KVM
3 - 0
BEE
68%
18%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
KVM
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Antwerp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 3
CHA
60%
22%
19%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
KVK
0 - 0
ANT
25%
26%
50%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
ANT
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 1
DEN
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KVK
1 - 2
ANT
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |