Mechelen U21 vs Diegem Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
11º
5º
37
2º
15º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 60 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 58 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 53 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 51 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 51 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 42 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 42 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 34 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 30 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 29 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 27 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 25 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 23 |
16º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 31.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
57% | 64% |
|
Mid-table
|
41.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mechelen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RUP
4 - 0
MEC
65%
20%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BER
2 - 2
MEC
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
1 - 0
ESP
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CER
1 - 0
MEC
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MEC
6 - 4
TEM
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Diegem Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 0
LIL
57%
21%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
4 - 1
BED
55%
21%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RUP
4 - 1
DIE
53%
23%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 3
GEN
21%
21%
59%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DIE
4 - 1
ENT
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |