Mechelen U21 vs Diegem Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
11º
10º
7
4º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 6% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16% | 50.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 41.5% |
|
Relegation
|
15.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mechelen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RUP
4 - 0
MEC
65%
20%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BER
2 - 2
MEC
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
1 - 0
ESP
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CER
1 - 0
MEC
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MEC
6 - 4
TEM
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Diegem Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 0
LIL
57%
21%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
4 - 1
BED
55%
21%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RUP
4 - 1
DIE
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 3
GEN
21%
21%
59%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DIE
4 - 1
ENT
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |