USM Oujda vs Ittihad Khemisset analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
13º
6º
28
6º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
64% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Oujda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
RKZ
0 - 0
USM
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
USM
1 - 0
RAJ
42%
30%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
JSM
2 - 1
USM
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
USM
1 - 0
WTE
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
USM
1 - 0
CBG
33%
29%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ittihad Khemisset
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
ITT
0 - 0
RAJ
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ROZ
1 - 0
ITT
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ITT
1 - 1
CBG
33%
29%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WYD
0 - 0
ITT
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ITT
1 - 3
ASS
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |