USM Oujda vs Ittihad Khemisset analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Oujda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
USM
2 - 0
RAJ
30%
30%
40%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
KAW
3 - 2
USM
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
USM
2 - 1
MOG
14%
24%
62%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ASS
1 - 1
USM
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
USM
1 - 2
CAS
41%
29%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ittihad Khemisset
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ITT
0 - 2
MOG
15%
25%
61%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
ITT
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ITT
0 - 3
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ITT
1 - 1
KAW
51%
27%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
ITT
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |