MC Oran vs USM Bel Abbès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MC Oran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
CON
4 - 3
ORA
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ORA
0 - 2
BEJ
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ORA
1 - 5
CAB
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
ALG
1 - 1
ORA
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
ORA
3 - 1
CHL
31%
29%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
USM
0 - 1
BEJ
19%
28%
54%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
CHL
2 - 1
USM
75%
17%
7%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
USM
3 - 0
USM
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
OLY
2 - 2
USM
48%
26%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
BBA
1 - 0
USM
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |