MC Alger vs USM Bel Abbès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MC Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
DTA
1 - 1
ALG
31%
30%
40%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
ALG
1 - 2
HUS
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
JSK
0 - 0
ALG
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 5
ALG
31%
30%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
JSK
3 - 1
ALG
30%
31%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
USM
1 - 0
HAR
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
USM
0 - 1
SAO
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
USM
1 - 0
ZAO
90%
9%
2%
|
70 | 19 | 51 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
DTA
1 - 0
USM
33%
30%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
USM
0 - 1
HUS
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |