MC Alger vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MC Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ALH
1 - 1
ALG
10%
21%
70%
|
76 | 28 | 48 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 3
ALG
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
NCM
1 - 2
ALG
32%
31%
37%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 0
CHL
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 1
ALH
89%
9%
2%
|
75 | 29 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
YOU
3 - 1
TPM
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
TPM
1 - 1
YOU
71%
17%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ALH
2 - 1
TPM
8%
16%
76%
|
71 | 30 | 41 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
LUB
0 - 3
TPM
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
TPM
0 - 0
ALG
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |