Mbombela United vs Swallows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbombela United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
WIT
0 - 1
MBO
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MBO
1 - 1
BAR
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SUN
3 - 1
MBO
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
THA
0 - 1
MBO
38%
26%
37%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MBO
0 - 0
SFC
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SWA
1 - 1
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 2
SWA
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SWA
1 - 1
ALL
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 1
SWA
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
SWA
0 - 1
SSU
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |