Mbeya City vs Singida Fountain Gate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
13º
13º
54
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
57.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MBE
1 - 2
DJF
46%
29%
25%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
KMC
1 - 1
MBE
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
YOU
2 - 0
MBE
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
MBE
1 - 1
SIM
37%
30%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MBE
0 - 0
GGF
37%
29%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Singida Fountain Gate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
TAN
1 - 2
SBS
29%
29%
42%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
SBS
1 - 2
COA
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
SBS
3 - 0
NAM
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RUV
0 - 1
SBS
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
SBS
1 - 0
KMC
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |