Mbeya City vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
33%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
MBE
2 - 1
LFC
29%
29%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
RUV
1 - 0
MBE
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
YOU
1 - 1
MBE
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
TAN
0 - 1
MBE
56%
26%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
MBE
0 - 1
KMC
29%
29%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
TAN
0 - 0
MTI
51%
29%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MTI
0 - 1
JKT
34%
30%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
MTI
0 - 3
SIM
16%
25%
59%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MTI
0 - 1
LFC
42%
30%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
RUV
1 - 0
MTI
43%
29%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |