Mbeya City vs Azam FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
+2
5.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
48.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
YOU
1 - 0
MBE
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
KMC
4 - 0
MBE
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
MBE
1 - 0
GGF
29%
23%
48%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
GGF
1 - 1
MBE
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
KMC
0 - 3
MBE
55%
25%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Azam FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
AZA
2 - 0
COA
68%
20%
11%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
AZA
1 - 0
POL
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
TAN
2 - 2
AZA
30%
31%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
AZA
1 - 0
MBE
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
LFC
1 - 1
AZA
18%
30%
52%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |