Mbeya City vs Alliance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
SUT
2 - 1
MBE
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
MBE
1 - 0
MBA
49%
28%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 0
MBE
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
KAG
2 - 3
MBE
54%
26%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
BUM
1 - 0
MBE
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alliance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
KMC
2 - 1
AFC
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
TAN
1 - 0
AFC
56%
27%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AZA
1 - 0
AFC
74%
18%
8%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
RUV
1 - 0
AFC
49%
27%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
YOU
2 - 0
AFC
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |