Mbarara City vs Vipers SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
UGA
3 - 1
MCF
55%
23%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MCF
3 - 1
KYE
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
UPD
2 - 0
MCF
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
MCF
0 - 0
JIN
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
KIT
0 - 1
MCF
48%
24%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vipers SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
VIP
2 - 0
BRI
50%
26%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
OND
1 - 3
VIP
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
VIP
1 - 0
BUL
59%
24%
17%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
VIP
3 - 2
UGA
46%
26%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
KYE
2 - 2
VIP
49%
24%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |