Mbarara City vs Uganda Revenue Authority analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
34%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 3
MCF
38%
31%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
MCF
1 - 0
BUL
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
OND
1 - 1
MCF
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
KYE
4 - 3
MCF
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
MCF
9 - 0
FHL
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 12 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda Revenue Authority
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
URA
1 - 2
UGA
65%
22%
14%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
EXP
1 - 2
URA
28%
29%
43%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
URA
3 - 1
VIP
29%
30%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
JIN
3 - 0
URA
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
URA
8 - 3
NFC
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |