Mbarara City vs Uganda Police analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
EXP
0 - 1
MCF
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
MCF
0 - 0
VIP
24%
29%
47%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2020 |
KAK
1 - 2
MCF
12%
19%
70%
|
48 | 7 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
JIN
1 - 0
MCF
51%
27%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
MCF
1 - 0
WAK
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Uganda Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
UGA
2 - 2
SCV
39%
27%
33%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 1
UGA
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ADM
2 - 0
UGA
8%
15%
77%
|
49 | 10 | 39 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
UGA
1 - 0
KYE
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
UGA
6 - 1
EXP
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |