Mbarara City vs UPDF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
KCC
4 - 0
MCF
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
MCF
0 - 0
MFC
38%
28%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SCV
2 - 1
MCF
47%
27%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
MCF
5 - 0
GAD
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
MCF
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
UPD
1 - 1
GAD
47%
24%
30%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
VIP
2 - 1
UPD
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
BUL
0 - 1
UPD
66%
20%
15%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
UPD
2 - 0
JIN
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
EXP
3 - 1
UPD
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |