Mbarara City vs SC Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GAD
2 - 1
MCF
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
MCF
1 - 1
BRI
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
MCF
1 - 0
AHS
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
JIN
0 - 0
MCF
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
MCF
0 - 0
VIP
28%
25%
47%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
SCV
3 - 1
AHS
48%
26%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SCV
1 - 2
BUL
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
VIP
1 - 1
SCV
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SCV
3 - 0
NEC
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
SCV
50%
27%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |