Mbarara City vs SC Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
UGA
0 - 0
MCF
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
MCF
1 - 2
VIP
40%
27%
34%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
UPD
1 - 0
MCF
41%
27%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
BUL
1 - 0
MCF
48%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
MCF
2 - 1
AHS
43%
26%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
SCV
2 - 1
OND
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
SCV
1 - 2
BUL
37%
28%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
EXP
0 - 0
SCV
55%
25%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
SCV
1 - 3
WAK
41%
27%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
SCV
1 - 0
UGA
49%
24%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |