Mbarara City vs SC Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
MCF
0 - 0
KCC
41%
26%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
EXP
1 - 1
MCF
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
MCF
2 - 1
MYD
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
MCF
0 - 1
URA
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
URA
0 - 0
MCF
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
SCV
0 - 0
URA
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
KCC
1 - 0
SCV
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SCV
0 - 0
EXP
47%
26%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
NUF
0 - 3
SCV
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
SCV
0 - 1
NUF
37%
24%
38%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |