Mbarara City vs NEC FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
KCC
2 - 1
MCF
72%
17%
12%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
MCF
1 - 0
ADM
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 0
MCF
57%
24%
19%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
VIP
4 - 0
MCF
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MCF
8 - 2
SOA
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
NEC FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
KIB
1 - 0
NEC
77%
15%
9%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |