Mbarara City vs Maroons FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
WAK
2 - 1
MCF
48%
26%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
MCF
2 - 1
JIN
45%
28%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
VIP
2 - 2
MCF
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MCF
2 - 3
EXP
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
UGA
0 - 0
MCF
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Maroons FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MFC
0 - 1
OND
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
BUL
2 - 0
MFC
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MFC
3 - 2
BRI
49%
27%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
SOA
0 - 2
MFC
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
MFC
1 - 0
KYE
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |