Mbarara City vs KCCA FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
MCF
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MCF
0 - 0
SCV
35%
27%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GAD
2 - 1
MCF
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
MCF
1 - 1
BRI
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
MCF
1 - 0
AHS
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
KCCA FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
KCC
6 - 1
GAD
62%
19%
20%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
JIN
2 - 1
KCC
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
KCC
3 - 1
VIP
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
AHS
1 - 1
KCC
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
KCC
0 - 2
NEC
84%
10%
6%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -1 |