Mbarara City vs Busoga United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 0
MCF
37%
24%
40%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
MCF
3 - 1
EXP
34%
28%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BUL
1 - 1
MCF
57%
23%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
MCF
2 - 1
WAK
45%
26%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
URA
3 - 0
MCF
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Busoga United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
JIN
1 - 1
TUF
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 8 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
JIN
2 - 3
NEC
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
VIP
3 - 0
JIN
66%
19%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
JIN
2 - 1
KIT
27%
22%
51%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
BUL
1 - 0
JIN
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |