Mbarara City vs Busoga United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2022 |
KCC
1 - 0
MCF
66%
20%
15%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
MCF
0 - 1
GAD
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
URA
2 - 0
MCF
50%
26%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
MCF
0 - 0
WAK
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MCF
3 - 2
OND
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Busoga United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2022 |
JIN
2 - 0
OND
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
EXP
4 - 0
JIN
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
JIN
0 - 1
SCV
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
UGA
3 - 1
JIN
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
JIN
1 - 4
VIP
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |