Mbarara City vs Busoga United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
VIP
2 - 2
MCF
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MCF
2 - 3
EXP
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
UGA
0 - 0
MCF
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
SCV
3 - 1
MCF
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MCF
3 - 0
PRO
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Busoga United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
JIN
0 - 1
OND
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
BUL
0 - 3
JIN
45%
28%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
JIN
3 - 1
BRI
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
JIN
0 - 1
KCC
15%
27%
59%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SOA
2 - 1
JIN
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |