Mbarara City vs Gaddafi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
URA
2 - 0
MCF
50%
26%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
MCF
0 - 0
WAK
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MCF
3 - 2
OND
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
EXP
2 - 0
MCF
47%
27%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
MCF
1 - 0
SCV
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gaddafi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
GAD
2 - 2
OND
66%
19%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
EXP
1 - 0
GAD
43%
26%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
GAD
2 - 1
SCV
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
UGA
2 - 2
GAD
34%
22%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
GAD
1 - 3
VIP
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |