Mbarara City vs Express SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
KCC
2 - 0
MCF
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
SCV
3 - 0
MCF
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
MCF
1 - 1
URA
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 3
MCF
38%
31%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
MCF
1 - 0
BUL
51%
27%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Express SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
EXP
2 - 1
BRI
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
OND
1 - 1
EXP
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
MFC
0 - 1
EXP
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
EXP
1 - 2
URA
28%
29%
43%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
KCC
1 - 1
EXP
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |