Mbarara City vs Express SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
UGA
0 - 0
MCF
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
SCV
3 - 1
MCF
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MCF
3 - 0
PRO
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
SOA
3 - 1
MCF
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
MCF
0 - 0
VIP
29%
32%
39%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Express SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
EXP
0 - 2
OND
29%
29%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
EXP
1 - 1
BRI
40%
29%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
BUL
1 - 0
EXP
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
EXP
1 - 1
BRI
37%
29%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 1
EXP
38%
28%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |