Mbarara City vs BUL FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
MCF
0 - 0
EXP
37%
27%
36%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MCF
4 - 0
IGA
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
OND
1 - 0
MCF
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
WAK
3 - 1
MCF
66%
18%
17%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
MCF
0 - 0
URA
33%
28%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
BUL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
JIN
1 - 1
BUL
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 2
BUL
37%
28%
36%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
BUL
2 - 0
SOA
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
BRI
3 - 0
BUL
33%
29%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
BUL
5 - 1
UPD
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |