Mbarara City vs BUL FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
22.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
OND
1 - 1
MCF
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
KYE
4 - 3
MCF
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
MCF
9 - 0
FHL
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 12 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
MCF
1 - 0
UGA
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
EXP
0 - 1
MCF
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
BUL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
BUL
2 - 1
SCV
36%
29%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
PRO
3 - 1
BUL
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
BUL
2 - 3
VIP
23%
30%
47%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
JIN
2 - 1
BUL
46%
29%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
BUL
0 - 0
WAK
47%
27%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |