Mbarara City vs Bright Stars FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SOA
1 - 0
MCF
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
URA
0 - 0
MCF
54%
26%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
MCF
1 - 2
MFC
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
WAK
2 - 1
MCF
48%
26%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
MCF
2 - 1
JIN
45%
28%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bright Stars FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 0
OND
24%
29%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
BUL
1 - 1
BRI
63%
23%
14%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 1
KYE
35%
28%
38%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 0
SOA
28%
29%
43%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
KCC
1 - 1
BRI
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |