Mbao vs Ndanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
24.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
MBA
3 - 0
NAM
15%
26%
60%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
JKT
1 - 1
MBA
51%
27%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
SIM
2 - 3
MBA
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
MBA
1 - 0
MTI
39%
30%
32%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
MBA
2 - 0
LFC
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Ndanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
AFC
2 - 2
NDA
50%
27%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
NDA
0 - 1
MBE
44%
29%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
NDA
2 - 1
TAN
34%
33%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
NDA
0 - 0
JKT
35%
29%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
NDA
0 - 0
SIM
13%
24%
64%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |