Mbale Heroes vs KCCA FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
64.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+506%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbale Heroes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 1
MHF
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MHF
0 - 4
URA
16%
20%
63%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
WAK
1 - 0
MHF
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MHF
1 - 0
SCV
17%
22%
61%
|
6 | 38 | 32 | +6 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
EXP
2 - 1
MHF
79%
14%
7%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
KCCA FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KCC
0 - 0
UPD
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 1
KCC
40%
28%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
KCC
2 - 0
KIT
55%
22%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
BUL
1 - 1
KCC
44%
27%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KCC
1 - 0
URA
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |