Mbabane Swallows vs Primeiro de Agosto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
71%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
ZES
1 - 1
MBA
46%
24%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VOV
1 - 5
MBA
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MAL
1 - 4
MBA
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
MBA
0 - 0
GRE
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -25 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
MBA
1 - 0
ZAN
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +23 |
Matches
Primeiro de Agosto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
PRI
1 - 1
ETO
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
INT
0 - 1
PRI
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
PRI
1 - 0
CDH
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
DFC
1 - 3
PRI
26%
28%
47%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
PRI
0 - 0
PET
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |