Mbabane Swallows vs Manzini Sea Birds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 1
MBA
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MBA
1 - 0
RFC
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MBA
2 - 0
MON
61%
22%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MBA
3 - 0
MAN
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MBA
1 - 1
ROY
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manzini Sea Birds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 3
MAN
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
MAN
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 0
MAN
58%
21%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
HIG
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 2
MAD
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |