Mbabane Swallows vs Ezulwini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+1415%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
HIG
2 - 3
MBA
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MBA
7 - 2
MAN
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 1
MBA
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MBA
1 - 0
RFC
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MBA
2 - 0
MON
61%
22%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ezulwini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
EZU
1 - 0
MAN
26%
21%
53%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 0
EZU
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DNV
0 - 1
EZU
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
EZU
0 - 0
ROY
16%
19%
65%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 4
EZU
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +2 |