Mbabane Swallows vs Etoile Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
67%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2018 |
MBA
1 - 0
PRI
11%
18%
71%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ZES
1 - 1
MBA
46%
24%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VOV
1 - 5
MBA
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MAL
1 - 4
MBA
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
MBA
0 - 0
GRE
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -25 |
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2018 |
ETO
2 - 1
ZES
89%
9%
2%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CLU
4 - 1
ETO
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 1
ETO
45%
29%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
PRI
1 - 1
ETO
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
ETO
4 - 0
MED
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |