Mazatlán vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mazatlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAZ
3 - 0
PAC
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PHU
1 - 1
MAZ
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 2
MAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DCU
1 - 2
MAZ
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
NSC
0 - 2
MAZ
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
PUE
70%
19%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 2
MON
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
TIG
2 - 1
PUE
71%
18%
12%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 2
IMI
23%
22%
55%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 2
ATS
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |