Mayo League vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
71.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mayo League
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
FIN
2 - 0
MAY
77%
15%
8%
|
7 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
LON
4 - 0
MAY
71%
19%
10%
|
7 | 65 | 58 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2005 |
DER
2 - 1
MAY
71%
19%
10%
|
7 | 65 | 58 | 0 |
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 0
LON
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 0
FIN
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 2
WAT
23%
27%
50%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
WEX
2 - 2
FIN
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FIN
2 - 0
ATH
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |