Mauritius vs Eswatini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
69.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MUS
3 - 3
STP
34%
25%
42%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
STP
1 - 0
MUS
44%
25%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
NPL
1 - 0
MUS
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
NPL
1 - 0
MUS
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
STP
2 - 1
MUS
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Eswatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
SWZ
1 - 3
BFA
17%
25%
58%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
TOG
2 - 2
SWZ
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
MOZ
0 - 1
SWZ
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SWZ
2 - 1
SOM
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SOM
0 - 3
SWZ
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |