Mauritius vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
59.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MUS
3 - 0
COM
80%
14%
7%
|
43 | 10 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
MUS
0 - 2
RSA
10%
20%
70%
|
43 | 81 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
RSA
3 - 0
MUS
76%
19%
6%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
GHA
7 - 1
MUS
83%
14%
4%
|
44 | 82 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
SYC
0 - 1
MUS
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
SYC
0 - 4
MOZ
15%
20%
65%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
MOZ
5 - 1
SYC
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
MOZ
0 - 1
RWA
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
NAM
2 - 0
MOZ
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
MOZ
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |