Mauritius vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
MUS
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
MUS
0 - 0
ANG
8%
18%
74%
|
35 | 70 | 35 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
CMR
3 - 0
MUS
81%
15%
4%
|
35 | 81 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
MUS
0 - 1
MOZ
7%
17%
76%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
ANG
0 - 1
MUS
85%
12%
3%
|
34 | 71 | 37 | +1 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
MUS
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 3
MAD
14%
20%
66%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
MLI
3 - 1
CHA
84%
13%
4%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
SDN
1 - 0
CHA
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
COD
5 - 0
CHA
81%
14%
5%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | -1 |