Mauritius vs San Cristóbal y Nieves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
IND
2 - 1
MUS
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ANG
3 - 2
MUS
71%
20%
9%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
MUS
0 - 1
ANG
14%
21%
66%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
TAN
1 - 1
MUS
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
MWI
0 - 0
MUS
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
San Cristóbal y Nieves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
GEO
3 - 0
KNA
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ARM
5 - 0
KNA
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
KNA
2 - 1
BRB
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
KNA
1 - 1
EST
19%
22%
60%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
KNA
0 - 2
HTI
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |