Mauritius vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
63.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
LSO
2 - 1
MUS
73%
19%
8%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 3
SWZ
12%
19%
69%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MUS
3 - 3
STP
34%
25%
42%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
STP
1 - 0
MUS
44%
25%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
NPL
1 - 0
MUS
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
MWI
1 - 1
SWZ
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
LSO
2 - 1
MWI
34%
29%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 0
MWI
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MWI
2 - 1
ETH
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
MWI
84%
13%
3%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |